It’s that time of year where one team that shouldn’t be top 5 finds themselves a week away from that mistake being corrected by a blue blood. TCU, you are up!
Our guest picker this week, @AmandaMAtwell, is an expert in all things Big XII, until, of course, Texas moves to the SEC. For the time being, we welcome our Big XII expert for the biggest game of Week 11.
Texas -7 vs TCU
Final pick – Texas, 49, TCU 35
I think Texas follows the course and hits their momentum early. TCU’s offense is formidable, but 6 of their 9 games have been decided by 10 points or less. I think the Texas defense holds them through here once again.
Kansas State +2.5 at Baylor
Final prediction – K-State 45, Baylor 35
I think K-State comes back from the home loss against Texas blazing. Baylor is favored and has home advantage – but if any team has lacked consistency in their Big 12 showing it’s the Bears. They scraped by OU last week – I don’t think they pull this one out.
Oklahoma State +1.5 vs Iowa State
Final Prediction – Oklahoma State 28, ISU 24
Oklahoma State has been exposed the last few weeks by the state of Kansas, but they proved they knew how to win at home – they’ve won every single home game this season. I think they break the skid and pull through with a close win this week.
In Tory’s first week, he goes undefeated including a straight up bet on underdog Iowa. Call me biased, but I’m giving him the first place nod because of that.
Notre Dame -14.5 at Navy
I don’t like the Domers, but after looking sluggish early they’ve rounded into form. I don’t think Navy will slow the train down.
Alabama -12 at Ole Miss
Ole Miss is a cute story. Alabama has had its dreams crushed. It now has the opportunity to do that to a lesser program. They will.
Nebraska +31 at Michigan
I know this isn’t a marquee matchup, but I had to pick it because 1. How awesome is it to see that line after literally decades of Nebraska fans say they will dominate the Big Ten. 2. When Michigan wins this game, Nebraska will be the ONLY Power 5 program to fail to earn a bowl trip since 2017. Just priceless.
Colorado +34 at USC
I’m as frustrated with USC’s defense as every other Trojans fan. I see the offense scoring in bunches but I see the defense making this much closer (within 20) than it needs to be.
Washington +13.5 at Oregon
Again, Pac 12 defenses are terrible. Oregon’s pass defense is one of the worst in all of college football. Washington’s Penix is strong enough to score points to hang around. Perhaps the Dawgs possibly pull off an upset.
Arizona +19.5 at UCLA
UCLA will win easily but Arizona has a fast and fun WR core that will make it a difficult night for the UCLA secondary.
LSU -3 at Arkansas
LSU is on fire, and Arkansas hasn’t looked good in weeks.
Mizzou +20.5 at Tennessee
Mizzou’s defense has been stout. Tennessee will have a bit of a hangover. The Vols will still win but it will be close.
ND -15.5 at Navy
Notre Dame is playing to well for this game to be within 20 points.
Iowa ML (+100) vs Wisconsin
I have been on the downswing so I need a bold prediction to jumpstart a streak. Truth is, this isn’t bold. The spread opened at -5.5 in favor of Wisconsin and shot down to -1.5. Something is up. Hopefully, it’ll be Iowa at the end of the game.
Michigan -31 vs Nebraska
I still don’t know how good Michigan is, but Michigan at home, even in non-elite years, is excellent in Ann Arbor against everyone that isn’t Ohio State or Michigan State. Nebraska isn’t either.
Maryland +10 at Penn State
I refuse to believe that Penn State isn’t just a mediocre team that only has to play two tough games this year. Maryland should at least be able to keep it close.
It is a community service to allow me not to be in last place, Andrew. I appreciate your help!
Clemson -7 vs Louisville
In his last ten seasons, Dabo Swinney and the Clemson Tigers have won by an average of 21 points in the game immediately following a regular season loss. Clemson still has a chance at the playoffs and you better believe they’ll want to prove it against Louisville on Saturday.
Michigan -31 vs Nebraska
Nebraska gives up 183 yards rushing per game, good for 107th in the country. Michigan’s offense rushes for 250 yards pers game, good for 4th in the country. Blake Corum and Donovan Edwards eat big in The Big House.
Colorado +34 at USC
The Trojans are going to win this one. It won’t even be close really. But Colorado is 3-1 against the spread over the past four games and 7-4 ATS in the last 12 contests with USC. Meanwhile, Lincoln Reilly’s squad is winning, but they’re only 3-4 against the spread against P5 schools. Short week and some injuries still in question, I’m going with the Buffaloes to cover.